31 December, 2009
The Bull is still soaring on 4H charts
The bull is still soaring 4H charts. But a bearish divergence exist on 1H charts at the momentum indicator. Is this the sign of correction?
GBPJPY Triangle Broken at 4H at last
A strong triangle broken at 4H GBPJPY at last. A possible of long signals.
29 December, 2009
Must do's in Forex Trading
There are a lot of mistakes a newbie trader makes, and these sort of mistakes most definately will cost the trader time and money. It is essential to know about what things you should not be doing in trading and more importantly learn about the tips you should take from professional traders and use them to your advantage in your forex trades.
Here are 10 tips for trading forex online that will help you save time and money in your online trades:
For small trades, try to always trade in accordance to market trends which you can notice in the markets from forex news. Trading done based on market trends improves your odds in the long run run.
Have two accounts (or more if you like): a real trading account and a demo account. You can make the trades which you are very confident about on the real account and carry out the risky trades on the demo account, so that you can see for yourself if you are leaving too money on the table if you're being to conservative with your trades. This allows you to look at new opportunities in the market and more importantly make you more money!
Never trade on a time frame basis. Reversal patterns and repeating patterns appear often in the forex market. Learn to look for such patterns in any time frame. Once you are able to spot patterns you can use them to your advantage and be able to make wiser trades.
Never make trades based on emotions! - This will make you lose tons of money.
Before making any trades in any currency, make sure you check the big 3 sets: Dollar/Yen, Euro/Dollar, Pound/Dollar. They're might be something you're missing out
Follow the Upside Down Rule. If you can turn a chart upside down & it still looks the same, stay away from it.
Never give up! If you're making a lot of losses, then you are most definately doing something wrong. Unplug from your state of panic and try figure out the reasons want went wrong. Learn from your mistakes and try to avoid them next time.
Before making any trades You need to...
There is one crucial element which seperates the successful traders from the ones who are struggling to make a profit in forex. You need to be able to understand Forex Trading Techniques!
Now the thing is, one technique might not be favourable for you to use as you may be playing a different type of ball game. However there must be at least one technique that will be useful to you and you really need to learn it and apply it to your trading methodology. It is important that you try out as many different techniques as you can and identify the ones that work best for you and stick to them.
Now the only way to find out which techniques are good for you, is by testing them out.
Let's go over 3 of the most popular trading techniques used widely by traders globally:
"3 of the Top Most Effective Forex Trading Techniques used"
Forex Hedging Technique - put simply this technique involves opening a trade in a pair and opening another trade with another pair which is related to the first pair. The idea is to reduce your risks, if one trade fails you may still be in profit with the other trade.
Hedging can often be quite complicated to manage, but when done right it reduces the overall risks
and produces decent profits. But don't expect to make big money using this technique.
Forex Risk Management Technique - a great technique for traders who follow their trading plans.
Traders who apply this technique set a particular point when to stop trades which are starting to make losses and take the profit as at that point in time in the trade. In this manner the trader would have taken the profit for his trade before the market starts dropping. This obviously saves you a lot of losses.
Forex Overlay Technique - this method is widely used by many traders and is considered to be very important. Overlays define changes in direction of markets; once a line intersects with the other line in a graph, a declining market is automatically detected.
These were only a few of the techniques which are used in making trades; and if you want to make good profits you have to learn more than these 3 forex techniques. You have to try out several techniques and decide which ones work best for you.
But techniques on their own, won't get you anywhere. You need motivation, belief in yourself, and the discipline to work consistently to work your way to achieve the profit margins you initially aimed for. These are all extremely crucial for everybody in the forex business; especially if you want to be a successful trader!
Must Know Tricks of the Trade
If you're going to be involved in something, you have to know how it works so that you can have the highest chance of success at it. The problem with Forex trading and the way that many people go wrong with it is that they do something where they make a bit of money and they assume that everything is going to go that way for them. They might even quit their day job and decide to be a full time Forex trader.
You have to realize, though, if you're thinking about doing this, that only about five percent of the people who trade on the Forex market end up being successful traders over the long term.
It's also important to realize that full time traders often need years of experience under their belts so that they can see consistent profits. Most Forex traders do it part time. They have a full time job that brings them full time income, and when they aren't working at that job they trade. That's great, but they aren't relying on their Forex income for bill paying and survival. The pressures on a trader are much more intense when they are solely focused on their trading income to live and pay their bills. Most people aren't ready for this and can't handle it well.
If you decide that you're one of the people who can, however, you have to really know the market, and even most full time Forex traders don't recommend that you do what they do. It's better if you have other income. Another job, a passive income stream, or something that can help you out and keep your house payment and electric bill taken care of while you trade. It can be lonely, as well, sitting for hours every day with only your computer for company.
Chat rooms and forums can be fun, but they aren't the same as talking face to face with people. It's also important to realize that you don't need to be a full time trader in order to make money. Most Forex traders don't trade full time for a lot of reasons, but the really good ones can make plenty of money by trading part time.
Is One Trade a Week the Secret to Success?
If you want to make money with Forex trading, there are many different ways that you can do it. A lot of people try to trade every day. Sure, they might make a lot of money sometimes. However, if you do something enough, eventually you'll make a mistake with it. That's unfortunate, because people who make mistakes trading, can lose all of the money that they made and then some.
A better and safer way to make money with Forex trading might be not to trade as often. It can be hard to stay away, especially when you're feeling lucky or you have a hunch about something and think that you really should follow through with it. Some great trades have been made that way, but some dubious ones have been made, as well. With that in mind, it's much better to trade less often but to trade smarter. It'll give you a lot more of a chance to think about the trades that you're making and whether they are really the best ones for you.
Whether it's the secret to success, though, depends on how you look at things and what kinds of trades you make. Anyone can make one trade a week, several trades a day or everything in between. It's not so much about how many trades are made but about how those trades are made.
The secret to success, if there is one in something so fickle as Forex trading, is that research is needed before trading. You have to have the right setup so that you'll essentially know what is going to happen before it happens. There's no way to completely do that without insider information, but you can still learn a lot by research and study into the currency market and into other markets as well.
One trade a week, if done correctly, can make you just as much money as several trades a day. Sometimes, you can actually make more by trading less often because you're better prepared to make the right kinds of trades.
The people who trade too often find that they don't take the time to learn about the trades that they are making, and that can get them in the end. To avoid that, try trading once a week instead, and research the trades you're making.
Be Successful- How to Keep a Forex Journal
If you want to be successful with Forex trading, keeping a trading diary or a journal is not only a good idea but a necessary one. You'll want to use this diary to keep track of all trades - those that were good ones and those that were not such good ones. If you only pay attention to the trades that you did well on you'll never learn what you were doing wrong on the trades where you lost money.
Being successful as a Forex trader means learning from your mistakes as well as doing things right. Just listing the trades and whether they did well or not isn't really enough, either. Instead, you'll want to make notes for each of the trades that you did. Did they go well? Not so well? Why? Knowing the why can be a lot more important than anything else when you want to see where you are, where you were, and where you're going. As a Forex trader you'll have good trades and bad trades. Everyone does. The goal, of course, is to raise the number of good trades and limit the number of bad ones, and that's incredibly hard to do if you aren't really sure why some were good and why some were bad.
There's another reason to keep a Forex journal, though, and that's because it'll help to make you disciplined. If you're going to be successful in your trading, discipline is necessary, but it's something that a lot of people don't really have. They say that they'll take something seriously but then they often do not, especially if things aren't going that well for them or if they're getting discouraged.
Keeping a Forex journal can help to keep you focused and can show you the good trades that you've made as well as the bad, which can help to keep you moving forward if you start to get discouraged. If you see what trades are losing you money you can cut out those kinds of trades or turn them into an inspiration by modifying them so that they do make you money.
How detailed the Forex journal will be is also completely up to you. Talking about the trade and making notes regarding it is very important, but if you have insight and thoughts about it, record those as well. They might help you later, and they can only cause you to be more successful the more you learn about Forex trading and how to do it properly.
Forex is Key in Economic Growth- Here's Why...
When most people talk about economic growth, especially within the United States, they talk about the problems that are seen on 'Main Street' and also the problems that are seen on Wall Street. They address issues like home foreclosures, the failing stock market, and the credit crunch. With that being the case, there are many people who believe that Forex is the key to economic growth. The Forex system has become part of the economy and is already working to be part of the driving forces behind the growth of the economy.
All of the fundamentals that underlie the economy can be studied through analyzing Forex funds. There are both complicated and subtle market basics that have to be addressed when Forex is analyzed. It involves the dynamics of the global market in a way that things like the US stock exchange does not. Because Forex deals with the trading of foreign currency it isn't just about how the US is doing, or China, or the UK, or anywhere else. It's only about how the world is doing, and that's something much more significant.
It's also important to be aware of the fact that what's happening in one country isn't always happening in others, but also that when there are problems in one area they often spread to other areas.
If the market in one country has trouble and their currency starts to fall, that will generally affect both markets and currency in other countries, so Forex can affect economic growth throughout the world and can be a pretty reliable market for judging how well the economy of the world is growing or whether there are problems. Forex trading is essentially based on supply and demand, and that's what the entire world is based on.
Every economy revolves around the supply of goods and services and the demand for those goods and services. Not everyone understands that supply and demand still play the main role in society, but for those who do they can see how Forex trading can be a part of that and also an indicator of it.
By watching how one currency is trading with other currencies the economic growth of a particular country can be gauged. That's important for investors and for others who work on a global scale. With Forex revolving around GDP and other issues that relate to the growth of a country, seeing strong trading means seeing strong growth.
Breathe a Sigh of Relief - Geithner Choice Eases Traders Fears
There were a lot of apprehensive people just a few days ago. They didn't know who President-Elect Barack Obama was going to name to his economic team, and that made them worry.
There had been a lot of speculation about how Obama liked to take chances, and that got people thinking that he might pick some people who were really inexperienced and who didn't have what it would take to do the jobs that they would be nominated for. Thankfully for the traders who were getting really worried, Obama chose Tim Geithner to be his Treasury Secretary.
It wasn't just United States traders who were worried about who he would pick, either, as markets all over the world seemed to breathe a collective sigh of relief once the choice was announced. The US market went up solidly that day, and many of the markets in other parts of the world went up, as well. That was largely because the choosing of Geithner eased fears that had been growing for some time.
There are still many people who are concerned about Obama and what he will do with the United States, but so far he seems to be showing that he's serious about the economy and how to correct it.
There were traders all over the world who were watching to see what would happen with the economic team that the next President was putting together, and now that they've seen where he intends to go with his team that helps to show them that there is more to the man and his ideas than they might have thought at first. It's good for the rest of society as well, because there are a lot of people who are losing money every day because the stock market keeps going down. If it doesn't start getting better soon some people could lose virtually all of their money.
There are people who have lost their jobs and their homes, and people who are retired and living off of their investments are seeing those investments dwindle all the time. They are ready to see something change, and they watch for signs that the market might be recovering.
If people are getting back into the market here and in other countries that can mean that there is reason to be hopeful again. The choosing of Tim Geithner won't complete address the economic problems that are seen in the country but it is definitely a good start in the opinions of most traders.
Is There Really a Perfect Forex Trading System?
Whether there's really a perfect Forex trading system remains to be seen, and is the subject of a lot of speculation. If you go to Forex sites and look on the forums you'll find a lot of talk about how a person has come up with the perfect trading system.
These people all have a lot of different ideas about what works and what doesn't, and they all want you to pay them so they can tell you about it. Unfortunately, most of these things are just scams and you don't really learn anything valuable about how to be a successful Forex trader.
All you do is lose money by buying the system and then lose more money when you try it and it doesn't work for you. Some of these systems might actually work at certain times for certain people, but that doesn't mean that they are actually legitimate when it comes to 'perfect' Forex trading systems. The truth is that there is no perfect system. Instead, there are systems that are pretty good and systems that aren't so good.
If someone did devise the perfect Forex trading system, what are the odds that person would want to share it with everyone? Even if he or she could make money from selling it to you, it would be easier to just keep making money by using the system for trading.
The best way for you to find the right Forex trading system for you is just to experiment and create your own. If you just take someone else's idea it might not work for you, and if you come up with your own system you're sure to have more success. It can take some trial and error to find the right system, so you can't expect to make a lot of money right away.
You'll have to work into it, and one of the best ways to do that is through the keeping of a Forex journal. That way you can see which trades have been successful, which have not done well, and what you need to do to make sure that you're more successful as a trader in the future.
The perfect Forex trading system doesn't really exist, but you can create a pretty good one for yourself with a little work and some research into the Forex trading market.
Written By: Roger Baettig from www.ibtimes.com/These Questions Must Be Asked and Answered With Each Trade
What is the specific market activity that will initiate the trade and define the intial protective stop-loss?
What is the specific market activity that will trigger an adjustment to the protective stoploss in order to ensure a profit if the market moves in the anticipated direction?
If you don’t have a specific answer to each of these questions for each and every trade, you will have a difficult if not impossible challenge to be successful.
Manage The Trade
Do most successful traders have greater than 50% of their trades winners or less than 50% of their trades winners? Part 2
If more than 50% of the trades of successful traders are losses, the average losing trade must be less than the average winning trade to end up with a net profit over time. If more than 50% of the trades are losers, traders are primarily in the business of losing! That is our most frequent activity! Do you see why loss management is a critical component of the business of trading! The first thing you must ask yourself when you consider a trade is:
"What specific market action will indicate that I am wrong in the trade
decision and how much will it cost to find out if it is a correct trade
decision?"
When you consider a trade, do you first think about the potential profit or the potential loss? A professional trader always considers the potential loss first. Will the loss be acceptable within the context of my trading plan? If not, the trade must be passed-up. If you want to succeed in the business of trading, the potential loss of any one trade will be no more than 5% of your trading equity. The potential loss is controllable. The potential profit is a “best guess”.
Do most successful traders have greater than 50% of their trades winners or less than 50% of their trades winners? Part 1
If you are a successful trader or at least have a realistic knowledge of the business of trading, you know that the answer is more than 50% of the trades of most successful traders are losers. I know all of the hype we hear and read about every day by unscrupulous promoters of trading products and services want you to believe that they can teach you to have 80%-90% winning trades if you just use their products or services. To put it bluntly, this is simply a lie. Why?
To be continued...
28 December, 2009
Merry Christmas 2009
27 December, 2009
Moving Average Systems
The Two Moving Averages system is particularly useful for identifying trends. The fast moving average should be about 5 or 7 days. The slow moving average should be varied according to the cycle you intend to trade (see Indicator Time Frames for details). Try 50 or 63 days for the secondary cycle and 120, 150 or 200 days for the primary cycle.Exponential moving averages are more responsive and not prone to "bark twice" as with simple moving averages.
Use the slow moving average as a directional filter: only go long if the moving average is rising.
This makes a simple but effective trading system when combined with Stop Losses. Adjust the stops over time in the direction of the trend. Stan Weinstein's Breakout Model provides a useful variation where the stops are only moved above the slow moving average if the moving average stops rising.
- Enter when the fast moving average rises above the slow moving average and the slow moving average starts rising. Wait for the breakout above the $28.00 resistance level [R] and volume confirmation. Place a stop-loss below the Low of the signal day [1].
- Stops are adjusted upwards with each successive trough in the short cycle. Do not raise the stop above the slow moving average if it is rising. If the slow moving average is no longer rising, adjust the stop to just below the latest trough.
- Exit when the fast moving average crosses below the slow moving average or price falls below the latest stop level [3].
Momentum Indicator
Dow Jones Industrial Average with 10-day Momentum indicator and
Bollinger bands at 2.5 standard deviations around a 21-day exponential moving average.- Go long [L] when the MA turns upwards after a bullish Momentum divergence.
- Take profits [P] on a bearish divergence.
- Exit [X] when price closes below the MA.
- Price has started ranging, shown by the fluctuation of price around the MA and Momentum around the zero line. Set overbought and oversold levels based on observation of previous ranging markets. Go short [S] when Momentum turns back below the overbought line.
- Go long [L] when Momentum crosses back above the oversold line.
- Go short [S] again when Momentum crosses back below the overbought line.
- Go long [L].
- Go short [S].
- Go long [L] when Momentum crosses back above the oversold line. The long position is stopped out by a lower Low at [W].
- Go long again at [W] - the signal is supported by a bullish divergence.
- Go short [S].
- Go long [L]. Price then breaks out of the ranging market and stays above the MA. Switch to trending signals.
- Take profits [P] on a bearish divergence.
- Take further profits [P] on a bearish triple divergence. Exit [X] the trade when price closes below the MA.
25 December, 2009
Merry Chritsmas 2009
22 December, 2009
23 December 2009 GBPJPY 4H
Momentum: Bullish with bearish divergencePattern: Possible of Wave E of Complex Correction.
Price: A significant resistant exist at 146.44-146.75 where both 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement and 0.618 Fibonacci Expansion cluster together within a very tight range.
Short Term Strategy: Stay away from GBPJPY. The elephant is still in consolidation/indecision phase.
Long Term Strategy: If the 147.05 High of 22 Dec 2009 has been completed/confirmed as Wave E of Complex Correction, then we will see a continuation of impulsive wave where the bear will soar....
If the High of 22 Dec 2009 is taken out...do nothing...wait for another confirmation for bullish trend
just my 2 cents...
trade at your own risk for those who read my analysis..
17 December, 2009
Pasaran CFD punya cerita...
Kontrak untuk perbezaan (CFD) ialah suatu kontrak bagi perbezaan harga oleh satu atau lain-lain pelaburan kewangan apabila pemilik kontrak berharap pelaburan ini dapat membantu mendapatkan keuntungan daripada perubahan harga aset yang ditakrifkan dalam kontrak. Dan aset sandaran kontrak untuk perbezaan harga tidak dimiliki oleh pemegang kontrak.
Aset sandaran kontrak untuk perbezaan boleh berbentuk syer, indeks saham, komoditi dan hadapan tenaga, atau lain-lain instrumen tukaran. CFD ialah instrumen terbitan aset sandaran dan diwujudkan untuk memindahkan dagangan asas dari pasaran tukaran asing antarabangsa ke pasaran tukaran saham.
Ketersediaan CFD adalah penting kepada klien syarikat broker yang memberikan akses kepada pasaran tukaran antarabangsa FOREX.
Kelebihan utama menggunakan CFD sebagai alatan kewangan ialah peluang menggunakan leveraj berdagang dalam pasaran FOREX. Broker memberikan klien leveraj bersaiz lebih kecil tetapi dengan faedah yang cukup.
Tetapi bukan semua bakal pelabur mempunyai keupayaan yang bersesuaian untuk membeli saham atau hadapan untuk satu atau lain-lain instrumen, jadi berdagang di pasaran tukaran bukan untuk semua pelabur. Oleh itu, Kontrak untuk Perbezaan boleh menjadi alternatif untuk dagangan pertukaran kerana keperluan modal permulaan untuk CFD adalah lebih rendah pada akaun dengan leveraj yang cukup besar.
Klien juga dapat berdagang dalam semua bursa saham dunia secara serentak dan mempelbagaikan pelaburan mereka tanpa membuka akaun tambahan dengan syarikat lain.
Namun terdapat kekurangan berdagang dengan CFD. Aset sandaran kontrak perbezaan tidak akan diberikan kepada pembeli dan pembeli bukan pemegang aset tersebut. Oleh itu, semasa membuat CFD ke atas saham, pemegang kontrak tidak menerima dividen saham dan dengan memasuki CFD hadapan, pemegang tidak boleh meminta penghantaran sebarang barangan. Ini bermakna CFD bukanlah suatu alatan pelaburan yang efektif, tetapi merupakan alatan yang efektif untuk memperoleh kentungan daripada transaksi spekulatif.
Kontrak untuk perbezaan ialah satu-satunya alatan yang menggabungkan kelebihan bursa saham dengan FOREX di kaunter pasaran tukaran asing. Ia merupakan alatan terbaik untuk meningkatkan keuntungan pedagang pasaran kewangan dan memenuhi keperluan tuntutan pelabur kewangan.
Fikir sejanak...
Mungkin masi ramai kawan yang masi samar2 pasal CFD ni...hopefully my first ebook about EPTRIS and CFD will be launced soon coz I've found something magic!
17 November, 2009
15 November, 2009
E-Mini S&P500 Weekend Analysis 15 Nov 2009
Momentum Indicator: Bullish
Pattern : Probable of End of Wave 4
Analysis : Base on the 4H timeframe, the E-Mini S&P500 might be in bullish trend
to make a new Wave 5 of Elliott Wave.
Strategy : Go long at opening bell.
03 November, 2009
End of Wave C on GBP/USD 4H Charts?
Strong support (crimson rectangle) is projected from several fibonacci ratios. If this is the End of Wave C, then a bullish trend suppose to continue.
02 November, 2009
Misteri Forex Terbongkar: Satu Pendedahan
Apakah sebenarnya forex? Forex atau foreign exchange market merupakan salah satu instrument kewangan terbesar dunia yang melibatkan akitiviti pertukaran mata wang asing. Nilai dagangan forex ini dianggarkan melebihi 3 trilion dolar sehari menyebabkan antara pasaran kewangan yang mempunyai volatiliti dan kecairan paling tinggi. Peserta-pesertanya terdiri dari bank-bank pusat dan komersil, koperasi, institusi pelaburan, amanah saham dan pelabur persendirian. Disebabkan perkembangan pesat teknologi internet pada masa kini, forex adalah antara jenis perniagaan yang paling mudah disertai dengan modal permulaan sebanyak US $1.00 sahaja!
Terdapat fakta menggerunkan yang menyatakan bahawa kira-kira 95% pedagang forex di dunia ini menemui kegagalan atau kerugian manakala yang benar-benar berjaya hanyalah sebanyak 5% sahaja. Sungguhpun kebenaran maklumat ini masih lagi boleh dipertikaikan, namun apa yang pasti forex merupakan salah satu perniagaan yang sangat berisiko tinggi. Majoriti pedagang forex akan mengalami kerugian satu hingga dua belas bulan selepas membuka akaun. Walau bagaimanapun, sehingga kini masih ramai lagi yang belum serik dan terus menceburkan diri dalam bidang ini walhal sudah kerugian beribu-ribu ringgit. Hal ini kerana mereka beranggapan bahawa forex masih mampu menjanjikan pulangan yang lumayan, kalau bukan sekarang, sedikit masa lagi.
Antara sebab kenapa ramai yang gagal dalam bidang ini ialah, pertama, tidak mempunyai pelan dagangan (trading plan) yang strategik. Kedua, overtrade atau melakukan dagangan harian melebihi kemampuan diri. Ketiga, menggunakan risiko yang terlalu besar dalam satu-satu trading iaitu melebihi daripada 3% daripada jumlah kapital. Keempat, pedagang terlalu bergantung kepada kecanggihan teknologi dan indicator-indikator pasaran untuk membuat keputusan dagangangan. Kelima, gagal memperuntukkan masa yang secukupnya untuk belajar teknik dagangan yang betul. Dan keenam, terlalu obsesif iaitu mengambil masa terlalu terlama di depan skrin untuk berdagang sehingga terlupa untuk mengambil masa rehat.
Artikel ini ditulis bukan bertujuan untuk melemahkan motivasi kepada sesiapa yang ingin menceburkan diri dalam bidang ini, tetapi sebagai satu peringatan untuk semua pihak. Buat masa ini, kaum KDM sendiri telah melahirkan beberapa pedagang forex yang tersohor di negeri Sabah seperti Donny Wilfred Mandating a.k.a. Fxhunters yang berasal dari Daerah Penampang. Sumbangan utama beliau ialah melalui analisis pasaran semasa dan pendidikan forex yang boleh dicapai melalui blog beliau sabahforexguide.blogspot.com. Pencapaian Saudara Wilfred ini telah membuktikan bahawa bumiputera KDM juga boleh berjaya dalam bidang forex sungguhpun bidang ini diselubungi masalah kredabiliti, iaitu dibanjiri oleh pemasar-pemasar internet yang hanya mahu mengaut keuntungan daripada penjualan ebook mereka, padahal tidak menjalankan dagangan forex yang sebenar.
Kejayaan dalam apa jua bidang perniagaan memerlukan kita membuat keputusan secara logik berdasarkan maklumat yang ada. Sehubungan itu, tidak kira betapa canggihnya teknologi dan maklumat yang anda ada, mungkin anda masih tidak mampu untuk berjaya dalam bidang ini sekiranya gagal menguasai teknik asas berdagang seperti menentukan arah pergerakan pasaran, sokongan dan rintangan, candlesticks serta banyak lagi. Dalam erti kata yang lain, kita haruslah mempunyai ilmu dan pengalaman yang secukupnya sebelum terjun ke dalam dunia pelaburan forex. Adakah forex sesuai untuk anda? Cuba try lah dulu sendiri…
(Dipetik daripada Buku Konvensyen Komulakan UPKO 2009)
19 October, 2009
Conflict on the Daily GBPUSD 19 Oct 2009
A conflict occur on the daily GBPUSD chart. A clear defined 5 wave Elliott Wave have been completed followed by 3 Wave Counter-trend on the last bar at 19 October 2009. If this counter-trend is just a simple ABC correction, price should climbed up soon.If not, then cable may making a complex counter-trend to make retracement untill, 1.6133 - 1.5969 target point (purple ellipse).
15 October, 2009
Head and Shoulder on Daily GBPUSD
A possible Head and Shoulder formed at Daily GBPUSD chart. On the smaller time frame the 4H time frame is in Overbought zone which indicate that the upside should be limited soon.
Strategy: Go short at minor swing low at 1.6215 (using 5M entry)
Min Target: 1.6051
Typical Taret: 1.5985
Maximum Target: 1.5918
Stop at : 1.6300
I just use simple Fibonacci, Stochastic and classical chart pattern analysis.
13 October, 2009
Soy Bean 13 Oct 2009
By referring to the chart above, seems like the soy bean futures will continue bullish for the next trading day. If the wave C is completed, then we will see a possible of Wave 1 of a 5 E-wave pattern.Momentum: Bullish
Pattern: A possible Wave 1 if Wave C completed
Price: A strong narrow range resistance at 1016 - 1036 area
Trading strategy: Ready for long at opening bell
05 October, 2009
The E-mini Trading
Today, for the first time I traded the E-mini S&P 500 futures for December contract. Not a bad day.Long at 1025.50 at 9.40 pm and exit 4 minutes later at 1028.25. I made profit with 2.75 point equals to $137.50 after commission. This is what we call a true scalping strategy - a trading style which took very short period, from a few seconds to a few minutes only. But geng, it's a very very risky strategy, jan buat selalu.
I've analyzed the market thoroughly before just using momentum and price analysis. The blue rectangle on the chart above is the high probability of strong support which spotted via the projection of one retracement and one alternate price projection.
03 October, 2009
I'm thinking about...
Avarage people talk about things,
Small people talk about other peoples."
28 September, 2009
25 September, 2009
24 September, 2009
15 September, 2009
14 September, 2009
Weekend Analysis
Short for GBP USD. Pattern, price, momentum and time are all in high probability set up.
06 September, 2009
03 September, 2009
03/09/09 update
False entry signal. 2 Sept high was taken out when Bullish OB. Wait for the next bullish reversal for entry set up.
02 September, 2009
03/09/09
Probable Net Trend for the Next Few Trading DaysDual Time Frame Momentum: With the (8) daily bullish and (34) 60M DTosc's bearish reversal, the net trend should be sideways to up over the next few trading hours/few days. Wait for second bullish reversal for entry.
Pattern: 1 Sept is in the position to be a W.5 or a W.E low.
Price: A rally above the 2 Sept high at 1.6299 signals a W.5 or W.E low should be complete.
Summary: With the (8) daily DTosc bullish and a potential W.5 or W.E complete, the net trend should be uptrend.
GBP/USD Swing Trade Strategy
Long following a rally above the minor 2 Sept high as long as the (34) 60M DTosc is not BullOB or Bearish.
25 August, 2009
Fantastic Result for today!!
The 5 minutes TF has made a nice ABC correction before completing a strong bearish swing. Latest chart pattern might completing Wave 1 and 2. Lets see after this.
24 August, 2009
20 August, 2009
Soybean Futures 20/08/09 Forecast
Overall charts are making correction. The September Soybean Futures probably are making end wave of Wave A. Enter long once correction has been made.
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